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Football & Soccer Predictions

Football predictions with a public track record

Every match gets a probability and a confidence rating, and every call is checked against the real result once the final whistle goes. You can see exactly how often each rating lands before you pay a cedi.

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Graded resultssince Sep 18
68.4%of high-confidence calls landed (313 graded)
High confidence68.4% of 313
Medium56.1% of 617
Low44.2% of 650

53.6% across all 1,580 calls. Every prediction made before kickoff, graded on the real score -- wins and losses.

Today's 3 free picksNew picks as soon as these matches finish
  1. 1X2Coleraine FC v PortadownNIFL Premiership · Fri 19:45Coleraine FC to win70%
  2. Double ChanceLarne v Dungannon SwiftsNIFL Premiership · Fri 19:45Larne or draw89%
  3. Over 1.5Limavady United v Cliftonville FCNIFL Premiership · Fri 19:45Over 1.5 goals79%

Each pick is the model's strongest call in its market kicking off soon. Together they land about 1 in 2 of the time by the model's own numbers, so the slip can still lose.

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56 leagues · 69,470 matches analysed · 5,396 fixtures loaded. Open any match for recent form and past meetings; the pick and its probability are for members.

Fixtures for the next two days appear here once they're loaded.

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Does the confidence rating mean anything?

It should: a high-confidence call should land more often than a low one. Here is how every graded call since Sep 18 has done, by the rating it had before kickoff.

High confidence68.4% of 313
Medium56.1% of 617
Low44.2% of 650

For context, professional bookmakers land around 53-55% on match results. How the model is built and tested

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Before you act on any of this

These are probabilities, not outcomes. A 90% call loses about one time in ten, and losses cluster. Never stake money you need, and never raise a stake to win back a loss. 18+.

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