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Football & Soccer Predictions

Football predictions with a public track record

Every match gets a probability and a confidence rating, and every call is checked against the real result once the final whistle goes. You can see exactly how often each rating lands before you pay a cedi.

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Graded resultssince Sep 18
67.2%of high-confidence calls landed (299 graded)
High confidence67.2% of 299
Medium54.9% of 587
Low44.6% of 626

53% across all 1,512 calls. Every prediction made before kickoff, graded on the real score -- wins and losses.

Today's 3 free picksNew picks as soon as these matches finish
  1. 1X2Lincoln Red Imps FC v College 1975Gibraltar Premier Division · Sun 15:30Lincoln Red Imps FC to win90%
  2. Double ChanceCeltic v KilmarnockScottish Premiership · Sun 16:00Celtic or draw94%
  3. Over 1.5SC Cambuur v PSV EindhovenDutch Eredivisie · Sun 15:45Over 1.5 goals95%

Each pick is the model's strongest call in its market kicking off soon. Together they land about 81% of the time by the model's own numbers, so the slip can still lose.

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56 leagues · 69,401 matches analysed · 5,457 fixtures loaded. Open any match for recent form and past meetings; the pick and its probability are for members.

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Does the confidence rating mean anything?

It should: a high-confidence call should land more often than a low one. Here is how every graded call since Sep 18 has done, by the rating it had before kickoff.

High confidence67.2% of 299
Medium54.9% of 587
Low44.6% of 626

For context, professional bookmakers land around 53-55% on match results. How the model is built and tested

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Before you act on any of this

These are probabilities, not outcomes. A 90% call loses about one time in ten, and losses cluster. Never stake money you need, and never raise a stake to win back a loss. 18+.